microdistrict turnout prediction
Wealthy Precincts vs Broken Hyper‑Local Politics
A 2023 analysis of 12 affluent microdistricts found they turn out 25% fewer voters than the city average. The finding overturns the assumption that higher income automatically translates into higher civic participation. Survey data shows the gap persists across suburbs that dominate local tax bases. Hyper-Local Politics: The Voter Fatigue